Methodology
How the corrections work
The Injustice League replays each Premier League result with the refereeing errors fixed, using only the findings of the Premier League's Key Match Incidents (KMI) Panel. We do not add our own opinions. We also don't throw out a correction because it "probably wouldn't have mattered".
Which decisions we correct
The panel judges the on-field decision and the VAR's decision separately. We correct a decision when the panel's majority says the decision that finally stood in the match was wrong. It makes no difference whether the panel thought VAR should have stepped in.
- A goal that should have stood but was ruled out: +1 goal for that team.
- A goal that should not have stood: −1 goal for the team that scored it.
- A penalty that should have been given: counted as scored, +1 goal.
- A penalty that should not have been given: −1 goal, but only if it was scored. A missed penalty changes nothing.
- Anything else, such as a red card that should have been shown: listed, but no score change. We don't guess at knock-on effects.
Every other goal in the match stands. We don't simulate changes in tactics, momentum or anything that might have happened afterwards. Each correction is one goal, and no incident is counted twice.
Tables
Results become points in the usual way: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw. Teams are ordered by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Teams level on all three share a position. Head-to-head and play-off rules only apply at the end of the season and are not modelled yet.
Each matchweek's table includes the matches that kicked off before the next matchweek began. A postponed match counts from the matchweek in which it is actually played. When the panel's report arrives later, it adds corrections to that table but never adds matches to it. Older tables always use the latest reviewed findings, so they show our best current assessment rather than what was known at the time.
Review
Results and KMI reports are collected automatically. A person checks every proposed correction against the panel's published PDF before it reaches the table. A matchweek is marked verified only when every match in its table is covered by a reviewed report.
Limitations
- The panel only reviews key incidents. An error it didn't review isn't corrected.
- Counting every missed penalty as scored is a deliberate simplification. Real penalties are missed about a quarter of the time.
- This is a counterfactual for debate, not a claim about how any match or season would really have turned out.